How Much Do I Need To Retire In Canada?

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Dividend Earner

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Retirement is usually the last thing on your mind when you are young but that’s usually when you want to start planning to have the easiest path to retirement.

It’s like planting a seed now to see the fully grown tree 20 or 30 years later. The sooner you plant the seed of retirement, the faster you get your retirement tree.

Wealth that is passed through generations have grown old growth trees that can be over 100 years old. So you see, “time” plays a major factor in wealth generation and how much you need is trying to figure out if you need a 20 years old tree or a 30 years old.

As you can imagine, there isn’t one number as every city has a different cost of living. If you are willing to relocate, you can find the cheapest place to live but you will certainly need to give up something else in the process.

The key is to figure out your magic number for retiring in Canada. Mine is $1,777,777.

Do I need $1 million to retire in Canada?

In some cities, you do if you want to maintain a certain lifestyle. It’s plain and simple that retiring in Toronto and Vancouver will be easier if you to have a $1 million portfolio or equivalent in pension plan.

Given that everyone has different expenses and expectations for life in retirement, to get an accurate picture you will need to budget your annual spending. Personally, I think it’s harder to budget the annual spending than putting a plan to reach $1 million.

The plan for a $1 million portfolio can be as simple as seeing the numbers grow through simple math. Here is how you can do it with your TFSA account. Imagine when you have two TFSA accounts how fast you can make it.

wdt_ID Year Yearly Limit Cumulative 5% Growth 10% Growth Dividend Earner Spousal
1 2009 5,000 5,000 5,250 5,500 Not Tracked Not Started
2 2010 5,000 10,000 10,762 11,550 Not Tracked Not Started
3 2011 5,000 15,000 16,550 18,205 Not Tracked Not Started
4 2012 5,000 20,000 22,628 25,525 Not Tracked Not Started
5 2013 5,500 25,500 29,534 34,128 $41,742 Not Started
6 2014 5,500 31,000 36,786 43,590 $52,820 Not Started
7 2015 10,000 41,000 49,125 58,949 $56,307 Not Started
8 2016 5,500 46,500 57,356 70,984 $70,200 Not Started
9 2017 5,500 52,000 65,999 84,034 $78,900 $13,308
10 2018 5,500 57,500 75,074 98,487 $96,937 $58,818
11 2019 6,000 63,500 85,128 114,986 $129,467 $82,596
12 2020 6,000 69,500 95,684 133,030 $153,993 $95,906
13 2021 6,000 75,500 106,769 152,933 $181,601 $113,194
14 2022 6,000 81,500 118,407 174,827 $183,031 $144,633
15 2023 6,500 88,000 131,152 199,459 $207,853 YTD $157,050 YTD
16 2024 6,500 94,500 144,536 226,555
17 2025 6,500 101,000 158,587 256,361
18 2026 6,500 107,500 173,342 289,147
19 2027 7,000 114,500 189,359 325,762
20 2028 7,000 121,500 206,177 366,038
21 2029 7,000 128,500 223,836 410,342
22 2030 7,500 136,000 242,902 459,626
23 2031 7,500 143,500 262,923 513,838
24 2032 7,500 151,000 283,944 573,472
25 2033 7,500 158,500 306,016 639,069
26 2034 7,500 166,000 329,192 711,226
27 2035 7,500 173,500 353,526 790,599
28 2036 7,500 181,000 379,078 877,909
29 2037 7,500 188,500 405,906 973,950
30 2038 7,500 196,000 434,077 1,079,595

The amount of money you need in retirement depends on when you want to retire. Moreover, it depends on what you want to do once you are retired (travelling the world is more expensive than reading for example).

To answer the question of whether or not you need $1 million to retire in Canada is not simple but until you are getting closed to retirement, you should work towards the $1 million. In your 20’s and 30’s, aim high for $1 million or more but as you enter your 40’s and 50’s, your life should be more stable that you can more easily budget what you need.

What is the average Canadian retirement income?

Without statistical research on savings and pension plans, we need to go by the Canadian Pension Plan (CPP) data. As such, the average Canadian Pension Plan retirement pension hovers around $8,500 per year.

In 2021, the average monthly payout for CPP is $736.58, whereas the maximum account that could be earned monthly is $1,203.75. To achieve the maximum, you need to meet the CPP criteria found here.

In the end, the average CPP is useful but not enough. Plan without it and use it as a buffer to your plan in case it doens’t go according to plan.

How much do I need to retire in Canada?

How much you need to retire depends on where and on how you live now along with the adjustments you plan to make. It might sound simple but the reality is that life isn’t that predictable.

The mistake most people make is to plan for retirement as they see it coming and that usually doesn’t leave many options as time plays a major factor in reaching your goals.

Use a retirement calculator to shed some light on how your personal income, savings plan and life plans impact your retirement savings needs.

Typicaly, there are three categories of spending you need to consider and plan for:

  • Lodging – Do you own your place?
  • Day-to-day – Food, commuting, and fitness
  • Entertainment – Travel, golf, season tickets, and anything else you fancy

The idea is that lodging goes down since your mortgage should be paid but entertainment tends to go up since you have more time. So it’s a wash essentially in how much you need between when you were working and when you were not depending on your diligence.

In short, plan for the average net income from the last 3 or 5 years minus investing since you would stop investing.

How much to retire in your 50’s?

Early retirement is possible but not a last minute decision. It has to be planned in order to be achieved and in many cases sacrifices have to be made.

So how do you achieve Freedom 55? If you go back to the TFSA table above, there are 3 factors helping you reach the $1 million mark.

  1. Your contributions. That’s how much you can save. In the case of the TFSA, it’s capped for everyone making it an even playing field.
  2. Your rate of return. That’s how well your investments do for your portfolio.
  3. Time. The one and only variable you have no control over.

In the case of a TFSA, assuming you contribute the maximum, you only have control over the rate of return in way. For other accounts, you also control the contributions but in general, you will need time to reach your goals.

When working towards Freedom 55, you need to realized you have less working years to save (ie your contributions) and more years to live from your portfolio. It means you need to save more in your 30’s and 40’s than someone willing to retire at 65.

There are a few simple rules that can help give you an idea instead of trying to assess your life expectency and future cost of living.

X25 Rule – Years in retirement

A rule of thumb is to assume you will have 25 years in retirement (65 + 25 = 90). As life expectency goes, it’s above average but only you know the history in your family.

In case you want Freedom 55, you should do X35.

4% Rule – Annual withdrawal rate

This rule is one that is being challenged with the low interest rate environment we are in as it assumes a certain growth.

Without going into details, the 4% rule state that you should be able to withdraw 4% of your portfolio every year and retire safely without running out of money. Another way to look at it is to not withdraw more than 4% to feel safe.

It’s a tough rule though because in your 60’s you want to enjoy life a lot more than in your late 80’s when you could struggle to walk. So do you really want to keep 4% of your portfolio when you are bound to a chair in a home for elderly?

70% Rule – Your adjusted income in retirement

As pointed out above, this math rule implies your mortgage is recently paid off.

If you have been without a mortgage for a while, you need to up the number but it’s a good approximation to the income you will need.

Retirement Calculator – How much money I need to retire

With the few rules of thumb outlined, you can easily create a formula.

  • TGA = Target Retirement Age
  • GI = Gross Income
  • PI = Pension Income

Portfolio Value = (90 – TGA) * ((GI * 70%) – PI)

See some example in the table. Those with a pension plan don’t really see total value of their pension but rather the income they would receive and as such, remove the income from the total.

In the examples, no pension income is considered.

Retirement Age Gross Salary Target Salary Portfolio Value
65 $100,000 $70,000 $1,750,000
65 $70,000 $49,000 $1,225,000
60 $100,000 $70,000 $2,100,000
60 $70,000 $49,000 $1,470,000
55 $100,000 $70,000 $2,450,000
55 $70,000 $49,000 $1,715,000
50 $100,000 $70,000 $2,800,000
50 $70,000 $49,000 $1,960,000

Another note here is that inflation is not taken into account. My theory is that your portfolio strategy should grow to keep up with inflation which means your withdrawals will also keep up. What that means is that today’s $70,000 needs to increase by say 2% on average every year.

If you want a more formal calculator with extra bells and whistles, Sun Life has a good one as well.

Building a retirement portfolio

Building a retirement portfolio can be simple but also complicated since there is a lot to learn. You can start with the beginner portfolio model and you could keep that forever too.

In my perspective, a retirement plan is focused on how you will live and a portfolio strategy is how you build a nest egg to support your retirement plan.

My approach has been to build my own income portfolio starting with a dividend growth investing strategy.

As mentioned, you can try to reduce your portfolio target by considering your Canada Pension Plan (or CPP) but I find it’s a nice buffer for any unknown. Once you are a few years away from retirement, you can include it as you should know all the tax considerations of your portfolio.